Seth Godin comments on his belief in the success of the iPhone:
My take is quite different. I think the iPhone is going to sell 2 million units in 2007 and more in 2008. There, I said it.
I’ll basically agree though with a June shipment I’m not sure that they will make 2 million in the first six months. But I agree that they will grow, and I expect that they have the potential to capture between 1-5% of the market in five years. Keep in mind – about one billion (yes billion) mobile phones are sold every year. And I don’t expect Apple to have only one iPhone. I expect an entire family to handle every need. And handle them very well. Because Apple knows how to make customers happy.
Of course it’s easy to slam the iPhone, as Steve Ballmer did:
Steve Ballmer says, "There’s no chance that the iPhone is going to get any significant market share. No chance."
You could have probably said the same thing five years ago about a $500 music player called the iPod. Yet Apple sells about 40 million of them annually, and they pretty much are the market.
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